NRL Grades and Predictions

In episode 271 The Producer and Pies run through the mid-year report card for every NRL team.

We look at how they’ve gone so far, and then predict the future using The Producer’s own scientific method, Draw Difficulty Rating.

Draw Difficulty Rating gives the team coming first 16 points, second 15 points, down to last 1 point. Then we add up the scores for each opponent for the rest of the season.

Draw Difficulty Ratings (Easiest to Hardest) for the rest of the 2021 season
1 – 68 – Cronulla Sharks (11 games left)
2 – 69 – Newcastle (10)
3 – 78 – New Zealand Warriors (11)
4 – 82 – Manly Sea Eagles (11)
5 – 82 – Brisbane Broncos (10)
6 – 83 – Wests Tigers (10)
7 – 87 – South Sydney Rabbitohs (11)
8 – 89 – Melbourne Storm (10)
9 – 90 – Gold Coast Titans (10)
10 – 91 – Canterbury Bulldogs (11)
11 – 97 – North Queensland Cowboys (11)
12 – 99 – St George Illawarra Dragons
13 – 102 – Penrith Panthers (10)
14 – 104 – Canberra Raiders (11)
15 – 105 – Sydney Roosters (11)
16 – 105 – Parramatta Eels (10)

Melbourne Storm – Mid-Year Grade – A
1st (24 points, +294 differential) 12 wins – 2 losses
The run to the finals (5 Home, 5 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 89

Penrith Panthers – Mid-Year Grade – A+
2nd (24 pts, +285) 12-2
The run to the finals (5 Home, 5 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 102

Parramatta Eels – Mid-Year Grade – B+
3rd (22 pts, +176) 11-3
The run to the finals (5 Home, 5 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 105

South Sydney Rabbitohs – Mid-Year Grade – B-
4th (22 pts, +59) 10-3
The run to the finals (5 Home, 6 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 87

Sydney Roosters – Mid-Year Grade – C
5th (20 pts, +148) 9-4
The run to the finals (5 Home, 6 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 105

Manly Sea Eagles – Mid-Year Grade – B
6th (16 pts, +33) 7-6
The run to the finals (6 Home, 5 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 82

North Queensland Cowboys – Mid-Year Grade – B-
7th (14 pts, -119) 6-7
The run to the finals (5 Home, 6 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 97

St George Illawarra Dragons – Mid-Year Grade – D
8th (12 pts, -13) 6-8
The run to the finals (6 Home, 4 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 99

Cronulla Sharks – Mid-Year Grade – D
9th (12 pts, -46) 5-8
The run to the finals (5 Home, 6 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 68

Canberra Raiders – Mid-Year Grade – D-
10th (12 pts, -64) 5-8
The run to the finals (5 Home, 6 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 104

New Zealand Warriors – Mid-Year Grade – B
11th (12 pts, -66) 5-8
The run to the finals (5 Home, 6 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 78

Gold Coast Titans – Mid-Year Grade – D
12th (10 pts, -62) 5-9
The run to the finals (5 Home, 5 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 90

Wests Tigers – Mid-Year Grade – C
13th (10 pts, -82) 5-9
The run to the finals (4 Home, 6 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 83

Newcastle Knights – Mid-Year Grade – D-
14th (10 pts, -135) 5-9
The run to the finals (5 Home, 5 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 69

Brisbane Broncos – Mid-Year Grade – D
15th (6 pts, -204) 3-11
The run to the finals (7 Home, 3 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 82

Canterbury Bulldogs – Mid-Year Grade – D-
16th (6 pts, -204) 2-11
The run to the finals (6 Home, 5 Away)
Draw Difficulty Rating – 91

0:00:00 – Intro
0:07:52 – Melbourne Storm
0:11:53 – Penrith Panthers
0:19:58 – Parramatta Eels
0:26:06 – South Sydney Rabbitohs
0:29:41 – Sydney Roosters
0:35:58 – Manly Sea Eagles
0:42:16 – North Queensland Cowboys
0:46:35 – St George Illawarra Dragons
0:52:00 – Cronulla Sharks
0:57:46 – Canberra Raiders
1:00:04 – New Zealand Warriors
1:04:23 – Gold Coast Titans
1:07:53 – Wests Tigers
1:13:28 – Newcastle Knights
1:19:49 – Brisbane Broncos
1:23:36 – Canterbury Bulldogs
1:26:50 – Predictions